Following on from Alan’s request regarding a possible ‘Man of the Match’ league table, I’ve had a play around with the results and come up with something that I hope provides a quick and ready overview of this season’s polls. I’ll update the ‘tables’ after every home game from now on until the last home game, against Hull Ionians.
I did miss the second game of the season at the BPA, against Blackheath but I have included the Moseley away fixture as the fantastic travelling support at the game meant there was a very sizeable contingent of Cov supporters there that day and the numbers voting following the game were close to the highest all season.
If I go AWOL for any future games, I’ll endeavour to set a poll up so that those present at the game will still have the opportunity to vote should they so wish and I’ll also provide some sort of trophy for the player who heads the table once the Hull resulted has been added.
I’m really pleased Alan suggested the idea of formalising the awards a little more as currently once announced that week, the results are then quickly forgotten. The data below should add further interest to the weekly polls, given they’ll now be part of a season long competition. It will also gives some further evidence of supporters’ perceptions of the impact certain players have both on individual games and on the season as a whole.
So far numbers taking part in the polls have ranged from between 12-21% of the gate for that game, so the sample should be enough to give a pretty fair reflection of how everyone might have voted had they been asked.
However, a word of caution – those percentages don’t take into account supporters who use multiple votes (using different IP addresses) or those who weren’t at the game and listened to it via the radio or followed it on Twitter. It’s not possible to tell how many supporters fall into those categories, but I’m guessing not too many.
Sue (my wife) is a mathematician and when I asked her about what makes a statistically viable sample size she lost me in the first minute when she started talking about sample sizes and confidence levels. However, from the little I gleaned from her before I lost the will to live, the numbers involved here should suffice.
Once again, apologies this isn’t tabulated – it’s just one of the problems of using a hosted platform. I could have put a link in that would have taken you to a table produced in Word but I’d rather keep all the information on the one page.
It’s probably best to start off by reminding ourselves who the top three players voted for in each of the home games so far this season are.
Game 1: Moseley – 1. Stokes 2. Narraway 3. Makaafi (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 2: Blackheath – not available (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 3: Bishops’ Stortford – 1. Stokes 2. Narraway 3. Tuitupou (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 4: Loughborough – 1. Daynes 2. Makaafi 3. Preece (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 5: Caldy – 1. Dacres 2. Matoto 3. Tolmie (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 6: Plymouth – 1. Tolmie 2. Preece 3. Oram (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 7: Ampthill – 1. Preece 2. Kessell 3. Tolmie (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 8: Moseley (a) – 1. Trimble 2. Knox 3. Makaafi (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Game 9: Old Albanian – 1. Daynes 2. Povoas 3. Makaafi (Sponsors’ MotM – )
Apologies – I couldn’t find anywhere on the Cov website that listed the Sponsors’ choices by game. Not all the individual match reports include the winner (nor should they, I hasten to add) so I stopped reading through them after the first couple – I’ll contact the club in the week and see if anyone has a copy of the definitive list.
A table based simple on the number of appearances in the top three would look like this:
Makaafi – 4
Tolmie – 3
Preece – 3
Daynes – 2
Stokes – 2
Narraway – 2
Tuitupou – 2
Dacres – 1
Matoto – 1
Oram – 1
Kessel – 1
Trimble – 1
Knox – 1
Povoas – 1
However, to give some weighting to the relative positions, I’ve given 3 points for a first place in the poll, 2 for a second and 1 for a third. As Alan implies, clearly coming first in a weekly poll is more of an achievement than coming second.
I did experiment with Alan’s suggestion of 5, 3 and 1 but decided it favoured the winner rather too much which is ok, but given in most games it’s a really close call , in the end I went with 3, 2 and 1.
By applying the weighting, the table looks very different…
(Latu Makaafi, for instance, has a second and three thirds which under the system I’ve opted to use gives him 5 points (2+1+1+1).
Stokes – 6
Daynes – 6
Preece – 6
Makaafi – 5
Tolmie – 5
Narraway – 4
Dacres – 3
Trimble – 3
Matoto – 2
Knox – 2
Povoas – 2
Kessell – 2
Oram – 1
Tuitupou – 1
I’m not sure which is the better way of determining the league – by appearances in the top three of the polls or weighted points? James Stokes and Brett Daynes have appeared just twice and are top, Latu Makaafi four times and is 4th= with Jack Preece who has appeared three times…
Brett Daynes has two MofM awards in just 7 starts (against 15 for James S and 12 for Jack P), so maybe that suggests is he is playing some very consistent rugby at the moment, too
14 players have featured altogether in the 16 games so far played. With no yardstick to go on, it’s hard to know what to read into that but I would tentatively suggest that it’s indicative of the strength of the squad and the ability of all players to influence a game.
The good thing is there doesn’t seem to be a reliance on the same players performing each week and that is definitely a positive and should there be another couple of injuries along the way, there’s always going to be someone who can step up.
The only glaring omission is Will Maisey, but I’m sure his day will come sooner rather than later.
Anyway – that’s how it’s looking at the moment – if anyone wants any different information, then please just ask.
I did mention in Sunday’s post that I’d include some more of John Coles’ photos from the OA game – a number of people have commented on their quality and I can only reiterate how grateful I am to be able to use them.
And the following sequence of photos show Pete’s opening try – from the rebound Pete grabs possession, spots the gap and off he goes with eyes only for the line…
The final photo of the sequence (above) shows that James Stokes is not alone in having a ‘scoring face’, Pete has his own, repeated when he scores the second of his tries (below):
All very tongue-in-cheek…or not in this case.
I love the way Pete plays his rugby and whilst we’ll miss Tom Kessell for sure, I’m more than happy to have Pete and Dave Brazier back. We weren’t doing too badly with them before Tom’s arrival, after all…
The next sequence of 6 photos shows the reason why Max Trimble’s first ‘try’ was disallowed – to me, he doesn’t seem to have control of the ball and I’m not convinced his hands are even actually in contact with it – whichever way you look at it, you can see why there was some doubt in the referee’s mind. The assistant referee, to be fair, was in the right place but the ball was shielded from his sight by Max’s body.
Luc Jeannot makes sure the OA player has absolutely no chance of going anywhere, as Brett Daynes moves in to support him
Sometimes stills can be just as interesting as the moving image and John C’s photos have certainly captured moments in the game that are well worth a second look.
Thanks again, John.
Categories: Club talk